SEC. 01 — THE THREE COMPLEXES
Energy
Crude, products and natural gas: EIA inventory cycles, refinery utilization, storage vs 5-year averages, and curve shape as the market's own inventory forecast.
WTIBRENTNATGASMetals
Gold as a rates-and-dollar trade, copper as a growth thermometer: real-yield sensitivity, warehouse stocks and the macro regimes each metal historically responds to.
GOLDSILVERCOPPERAgriculture
Grains and softs through USDA data: WASDE surprises, crop progress, weather-window seasonality and the export flows that move the balance sheet.
CORNWHEATSOYCURVE NOTE — CONTANGO & BACKWARDATION
A futures curve sloping upward (contango) typically signals comfortable supply and imposes a roll cost on long positions; a downward slope (backwardation) typically signals tightness and pays longs to roll. GiottoO treats curve shape as a primary state variable for every covered commodity — it is often more informative than the spot price itself.
SEC. 02 — WHAT DATA POWERS IT
EIA (US Energy Information Administration)
Weekly petroleum status, natural gas storage and production statistics — the public backbone of energy research.
USDA reports (WASDE, crop progress)
Public supply/demand estimates and crop condition data for the agriculture complex.
FRED economic series
Producer prices, dollar indices and rate context that condition every commodity regime.
Licensed futures market data
Settlement prices and curve data for covered contracts via licensed distributors.
DATA MAY BE DELAYED. Government statistics publish on fixed schedules (EIA weekly, USDA monthly) and can lag spot markets by days.
DATA SOURCES
5 SOURCESSEC. 03 — KEY TOOLS
Commodity Risk Calculator
Notional, margin and stop distance in — margin-to-equity and contracts-for-risk-budget out. Free.
OPEN →Macro Pillar
The rates, dollar and inflation backdrop that conditions every commodity regime.
OPEN →Today's Market Picture
The daily brief, including energy and metals levels and the data calendar.
OPEN →Opportunity Scanner
Commodity setups scored on the same probability and liquidity criteria as every asset class.
OPEN →Decision Engine
Ask a structured commodities question and get a probability-framed research answer.
OPEN →Daily Intelligence Feed
EIA/USDA release-day context delivered inside the daily brief.
OPEN →SEC. 04 — WHAT EACH PLAN UNLOCKS
SEC. 05 — GET STARTED
Start with this week's inventory data.
Release calendars and the risk calculator are free. GiottoO Perspective ($29/mo) opens curves, seasonality and alerts.
SEC. 06 — RISK DISCLOSURE
Commodity and futures exposure involves leverage: losses can exceed posted margin, and prices gap on supply shocks, weather and geopolitics. Roll costs from curve shape can erode returns even when the directional view is right. Read the full commodities risk disclosure before using this pillar.
SOURCE DISCLOSURE: commodity analytics are computed from public EIA and USDA statistics, FRED economic series and licensed futures market data. Government data publishes on fixed schedules and may be revised. Data may be delayed.
GiottoO provides educational market research, probability analysis, and risk tools based on public, licensed, or user-authorized data. GiottoO is not a broker-dealer, investment adviser, commodity trading adviser, or financial adviser. Nothing on this platform is financial advice or a guarantee of performance. Trading and investing involve risk.