Market Regime

8-regime classification engine. Determines valid strategy set.

CURRENT REGIME

LOW VOL BULL

Regime 2 of 8 ยท confidence 74%

VIX Spot

STABLE

16.4

Below 20 โ€” low fear

VIX Term Structure

BULLISH

Contango

Front < back โ€” calm market

SPY vs 200MA

BULLISH

+4.8%

Above long-term trend

HYG Credit Spread

NEUTRAL

310 bps

Moderate credit stress

10Y-2Y Spread

BEARISH

-18 bps

Inverted โ€” watch duration

Put/Call Ratio

BULLISH

0.72

Low hedging demand

Strategy Edge in This Regime

Bull Put Spread

Premium-sell in low-vol, uptrend markets

High Edge

Iron Condor

Range-bound with stable VIX term structure

High Edge

Bear Call Spread

Hedge via inverted yield curve exposure

Medium Edge

Long Straddle

Avoid โ€” low IV, event premium not worth it

Low Edge